The latest rumors surrounding the Dodgers include a few guys I haven’t mentioned before…Aaron Rowand, Mike Lowell, and Joe Crede. So let start with Rowand, who is asking for $15 million a year in a long term deal. Last year he hit 27 HR’s, had 89 RBI’s, and had a .309 average. While that’s a pretty good season, is that really worth $15 million a year? If you look at his stats more carefully, you can see that he hit the majority of his home runs last season at home (17 of 27), in a stadium that has been know to give up home runs. Also, his batting average in the previous two seasons (before 2007) were .262 and .270, and he only had 12 and 13 HR’s those years. If you ask me, the Dodgers can get equal numbers from Andre Ethier, and much better numbers from Matt Kemp, and these guys play for a fraction of the cost. So basically, there is no way he is worth that kind of money, and if they Dodgers sign him, they will have another Juan Pierre on their hands.
Although Mike Lowell had a great year last year, I’m still not sold on the guy. He’s had his fair share of bad years, and he’s not getting any younger. Basically, it’s a similar situation to Rowand because the Dodgers can probably get similar play out of Andy LaRoach this year, and a much cheaper price. I’m not saying that Laroach will drive in 120 runs like Lowell did last year, but I can see him getting 20 to 25 home runs if he’s given a full season to play. He’s been tearing it up for Team USA over the past few weeks, and I think he’s finally ready to make an impact for the Dodgers. That being said, you can quote me right here right now…if the Dodgers do sign Lowell, he will not hit more than 20 HR’s, and will not break the 90 RBI mark. Yet, he will still cost the team around $15 million a year. Once again, not worth it.
Joe Crede is injury prone and has only had one semi-decent season, where he hit 30 HR’s and had a .283 average. In each of his other full seasons, he’s hit .261, .239, and .252, and averaged only 20 HR’s. Unless we are trading DJ Houlton for this guy, then it’s a worthless trade.
Overall, it seems like Colletti wants to make a move just to say that he did. He thinks that the fans want a change, but he is looking in all the wrong places. The truth is that the free agent class this year is very weak, and the Dodgers already have guys who can put up great numbers if they are given the opportunity to play a full season. If you project out Loney and Kemp’s numbers from last season over a 162 games, they would both have hit over 20 HR’s, which would have been better than anyone else on the team. Also, Billingsley might have won 17 games had he been a starter for the whole season. And who knows what Delwyn Young’s stats would have been last year if he had been the main pinch hitter instead of Olmedo Saenz. Bottom line: Colletti needs to learn that paying more money doesn’t equal better players. I’m not saying to never sign a free agent…but please, just be smart about it!